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btc - Entities that participate in Bitcoin futures are essentially making a bet on the price of Bitcoin over a specified period. Bitcoin futures work the same way as any futures contract on a traditional financial asset.

Having held between $20,000 to $25,000 through the summer, it dropped out of that range on Tuesday. The crypto winter could be about to go into deep freeze for Bitcoin if headwinds that are blowing finally break the will of bull investors who have been propping up its value.

However, Bitcoin futures have been available since the end of 2017, and they are increasingly available on regulated exchanges. They also may potentially impact regulatory decisions on further financial instruments for Bitcoin, such as ETFs.

But, of course, the price of BTC does not exist in a vacuum and the rest of the economic climate, the stock market, consumer demand for BTC and consumer confidence surrounding investing all have an effect on BTC prices. This scarcity tends to make BTC more valuable for a time.

Given the technical debt the soft-fork introduces, I’m left to believe that the only fathomable reason Core did not hardfork Segwit, is because it would have risked Bitcoin splitting into two (if not all miners jumped onboard), and with their limited blockspace (and mining power), would have sent fees spiralling out of control, while the other chain which would have engaged bigger blocks, would have dealt with the slower transactions with ease. The split happened in any case. Their bluff was called however, and Bitcoin Cash was born.

What has Segwit really given? Even if the entire eco-system adopted Segwit transactions, the benefit would be trivial from a scalability point of view. So the goal posts move again, and we get people screaming that wallet providers need to enable Segwit transactions. But even if Segwit solved all the world’s problems, why on earth would it be released as a soft fork, thereby, Core, placing themselves in a position where they have to ‘beg’ the entire eco-system to adopt it… The whole point of the soft-fork in this case was that it was not mandatory. The trouble is, some people do fall for this manipulation of context. A hardfork, would have made it mandatory. The same way many fell for the Segwit narrative… and now where are we at?

Thus, there are technically enough waves in place to consider the (green) wave-2/b complete and wave-3/c to ideally $37000+/-1000K underway. Last week I told my premium crypto trading members that a break above $19535 would target $20,5K+ (see here).

Sir, it’s $0.33 for that pound of bananas. Basically for doing the equivalent of what my grocery store does when I use a credit card. Bitcoin and altcoins consume a ridiculous amount of energy. Plus $20 to run the transaction. Think that would fly at the grocery store? Plus, it costs something like $20 per transaction.

Holding gold is not an investment in this case, it is a hedge. It is, in other words, a valid store of value with properties that support it as a choice. Totally agree about cryptos- but not sure gold should be lumped in with them. 1) If gold is a bubble, it is a >5000 year one… 2) lots of other things are used as a ‘store of value’ (paintings, etc) 3) If you are retired, with enough to last you the rest of your life even in cash, then you have eliminated most risks (market crash etc) but not all- the currency you hold your wealth in can fall greatly. Not everyone agrees, but it cannot, unlike cryptos, be regarded as ‘stupid’. I am not trying to promote it for this purpose, cryptocurrency but it is not an invalid choice. Yes, you can hedge in other things, but gold is fungible, dividable, small enough to hide, and has been valuable for centuries.

First, they are traded on regulated exchanges, making the process much more familiar and comfortable for mainstream and institutional investors who may not want to deal directly with cryptocurrency exchanges. Second, the contracts allow for speculation on the underlying price of the asset without having to go through the process of properly storing bitcoins, which is a high barrier to entry for many people unfamiliar with how Bitcoin works. Third, by granting Bitcoin more exposure to investors, more liquidity is added to the market. Finally, futures trading can lead to less volatility of Bitcoin’s price in the long-term and enable investors to protect themselves from adverse price swings.

"But that’s really being put to the test as risk aversion sweeps through the markets once more." "Bitcoin is continuing to show resilience around $20,000," Craig Erlam, an analyst at broker Oanda told Barron’s.

The world’s governments are not going to let everyone start trading money anonymously and evading taxes using Bitcoin. If cryptocurrency does take off, it will be in a government-backed form, like a new "Fedcoin" or "G20coin." Full anonymity and crypto government evasion will not be one of its features.

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